Financial Repression Tracker

Rules that steer savings into government debt or hold returns below inflation, country by country.

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Australia

Australia has few classic repression tools: no capital controls, deposit-rate caps or rules making pension funds or insurers hold government bonds were found. The main sovereign channel is bank liquidity regulation: since the RBA's Committed Liquidity Facility was phased out to zero on 1 January 2023, banks meet the LCR largely with Commonwealth and state government bonds, which count as top-tier liquid assets without limit or haircut, and Commonwealth debt also carries a zero risk weight. The RBA bought almost $224 billion of AGS and $57 billion of semis under its 2020-22 bond purchase program (alongside earlier purchases for its three-year yield target) and since 2022 has let its holdings run off as they mature. Other measures target housing and crypto: a ban on foreign purchases of established dwellings extended to 30 June 2029, state surcharge duties on foreign buyers (NSW 9%, Victoria 8%) and an ACT rent cap tied to rents CPI. On crypto, AUSTRAC has capped cash at crypto ATMs at $5,000, a licensing regime for digital asset platforms is enacted from 8 April 2027, and Treasury has released a draft bill for crypto transaction reporting.

Repression index
16.9 / 100
Once enacted laws apply
20.1 (+3.2)
  • 6 in force
  • 1 enacted
  • 1 proposed or under discussion

Measures as of

How the index is built

Each segment is what one category of rules, or the market pillar, adds to the index. The full bar is 100.

  • Captive demand 0.0
  • Central bank financing 3.2
  • Capital controls 0.0
  • Rate caps 0.0
  • Prudential sovereign bias 4.0
  • Directed credit 0.0
  • Tax incentives 0.0
  • Real asset restrictions 3.3
  • Transaction taxes 0.0
  • Market pillar 6.4

Index = 80% × rules (13.1) + 20% × market (31.9) = 16.9

The method in plain words
  • Rules pillar (0–100). Each of the 9 categories can add up to its weight (the weights sum to 100). A category's intensity grows with every in-force measure in it: one measure counts by its severity factor (0.25 for severity 1, 0.5 for 2, 0.8 for 3), and each further measure closes part of the remaining gap, so breadth adds with diminishing returns: two severity-3 measures give 96%.
  • Market pillar (0–100). The average of the market readings below: how negative the real policy rate is, and how much of the government's debt is held by its own central bank and banks.
  • Index. 80% rules + 20% market when market data exists, otherwise rules alone. Laws passed but not yet applying count only in the outlook; proposals never count.

The 9 categories

Weight = the most points a category can add to the rules pillar. Intensity = how much of that weight the in-force measures fill. Open a category to see the measures counted; “What is this?” shows the instruments behind it, worldwide and in history.

  • Captive demandWeight 16Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Mandated holdings of government debt by pension funds, insurers or banks. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Weight 16Intensity 25%Points 3.2

    Central bank purchases of government debt, yield curve control, direct monetary financing. What is this? →

  • Capital controls1 enacted, 1 proposed not countedWeight 16Intensity 0%Points 0.0 → 3.2 once enacted laws apply

    Limits on moving money abroad, outbound investment limits, FX controls. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Rate capsWeight 14Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Caps or ceilings on deposit or lending rates, and administered interest rates. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Weight 10Intensity 50%Points 4.0

    Prudential rules that favor sovereign debt (zero risk weights, liquidity-buffer rules, leverage-ratio exemptions). What is this? →

  • Directed creditWeight 10Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    State-directed lending, credit guidance, and mandates to invest domestically or in state priorities. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Tax incentivesWeight 7Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Tax privileges for government bonds, or tax penalties on competing assets. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Weight 6Intensity 68%Points 3.3

    Rent controls, property curbs, and limits on owning gold, cash or crypto. What is this? →

  • Transaction taxesWeight 5Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Financial transaction taxes, stamp duties and similar levies on non-government assets. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

Market pillar 31.9 / 100

The average of the readings that have data, worth 20% of the index (6.4 points here).

Indicators

Measured data from international sources, alongside the rules above. Real rates below zero mean savers lose purchasing power.

Real policy rate
0.4%
Jun 2026
Government debt
52% of GDP
2025
Liquidation effect (est.)
None
real rates are positive
Debt held by central bank
12.6%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic banks
12.0%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic non-banks
43.3%
Q4 2025
Debt held by foreign holders
32.0%
Q4 2025
Capital account openness
1.00 of 1
2023

Policy rate, inflation and real rate

Negative real rates-8-6-4-202468200520102015202020254.63.90.4

Who holds government debt

0102030405060702005201020152020202543.332.012.612.0

The liquidation effect follows Reinhart and Sbrancia: with a negative real rate, about −(real rate × debt) of GDP moves from savers to the state each year. It uses the policy rate, so treat it as a rough guide. Sources: BIS, BIS central bank policy rates; BIS consumer prices; IMF, IMF DataMapper: World Economic Outlook (October 2026); Fiscal Monitor (October 2026); Menzie D. Chinn and Hiro Ito, The Chinn-Ito Index (KAOPEN): a de jure measure of financial openness; IMF, Sovereign Debt Investor Base for Advanced Economies / for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (Arslanalp and Tsuda).

Measures

Every measure tracked here, with its legal basis and sources. Only in-force measures count in the index.

In force (6)

  • AUSTRAC A$5,000 cash limit on crypto ATMs (registration conditions)

    In force
    Since
    Jun 3, 2025
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.8 points to the index

    On 3 June 2025 AUSTRAC placed conditions on crypto ATM operators' registrations, including a $5,000 limit on cash deposits and withdrawals, enhanced customer due diligence, mandatory scam warnings and stronger transaction monitoring, and refused to renew one operator's registration. It said it expects other exchanges that accept cash for crypto to consider similar limits. The AML/CTF Act lets the AUSTRAC CEO attach conditions to a virtual asset service provider's registration, including on the value of virtual assets or money exchanged.

    Why it counts: Caps how much physical cash can be converted into or out of crypto through the main anonymous on-ramp, narrowing a route for moving savings outside the banking system.

  • Ban on foreign purchases of established dwellings (extended to 30 June 2029) and vacancy fee

    In force
    Since
    Apr 1, 2025
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.8 points to the index

    Since 1 April 2025 foreign persons, including temporary residents and foreign-owned companies, are barred from buying established dwellings unless an exception applies; the 2026-27 Budget extended the ban, originally for two years, by two years and three months to 30 June 2029. Purchases of Australian land by foreign persons are notifiable actions under the Foreign Acquisitions and Takeovers Act, and foreign owners pay a vacancy fee on dwellings occupied for fewer than 183 days a year.

    Why it counts: Closes the existing-housing market to non-resident and temporary-resident capital and taxes under-use of foreign-owned homes; it curbs a real-asset store of value rather than steering domestic savings.

  • RBA holdings from the 2020-22 bond purchase program and yield target (passive run-off)

    In force
    Since
    Mar 2020
    Category
    Central bank financing
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 3.2 points to the index

    From March 2020 the RBA bought Australian Government Securities to hold a three-year yield target (discontinued on 2 November 2021) and, under its bond purchase program, acquired almost $224 billion of AGS and $57 billion of semis between November 2020 and February 2022, taking its share of AGS outstanding to around 35 per cent. Purchases ceased on 10 February 2022; in May 2022 the Board decided not to reinvest maturing bonds and said it had no plans to sell.

    Why it counts: The central bank still holds a large stock of government and state bonds bought at pandemic-era yields and lets it run off only as bonds mature, keeping that debt off the private market for years.

  • ACT: rent increases capped at 110% of Canberra rents CPI growth

    In force
    Since
    Nov 1, 2019
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.8 points to the index

    In the Australian Capital Territory a rent increase may not exceed an amount prescribed by regulation unless the tenant agrees in writing or the tribunal (ACAT) approves; the regulation sets the cap at 1.1 times the current rent multiplied by the growth in the rents subgroup of the Canberra CPI since the last increase. The cap applies from 1 November 2019, and section 64AAA of the Act also limits increases to intervals of at least 12 months.

    Why it counts: Holds landlords' rental returns to inflation-linked growth, capping the income return on residential property held as savings.

  • State foreign-purchaser surcharge duties on residential property (NSW 9%, Victoria 8%)

    In force
    Since
    Jul 1, 2015
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.8 points to the index

    States levy extra duty on foreign buyers of residential property on top of ordinary transfer duty: New South Wales charges surcharge purchaser duty at 9% of dutiable value, and Victoria charges foreign purchaser additional duty at 8% for contracts from 1 July 2019 (3% when introduced on 1 July 2015, then 7% from 1 July 2016).

    Why it counts: Raises the cost for non-resident savers of holding Australian housing, segmenting the property market by residency on top of the federal screening regime.

  • Bank liquidity and capital rules favouring government securities (LCR HQLA1, zero risk weight, CLF wound down)

    In force
    Since
    Jan 2015
    Category
    Prudential sovereign bias
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 4.0 points to the index

    Under APRA's APS 210, marketable sovereign securities with a zero risk weight count as HQLA1 at market value with no haircut and without limit; in Australian dollars only Australian Government Securities and state/territory borrowing-authority bonds (semis) qualify. APS 112 lets banks risk-weight Australian Government exposures in Australian dollars at zero per cent. The RBA's Committed Liquidity Facility, which had let banks meet the LCR without holding these bonds, was phased out to zero on 1 January 2023.

    Why it counts: With the CLF gone, large banks must hold government and state bonds (or RBA balances) to meet the LCR, building a captive domestic bank bid for public debt at little capital cost.

Enacted, not yet in force (1)

  • Digital Assets Framework: crypto exchanges and custodians become financial products needing an AFS licence

    Enacted, not yet in force
    Since
    Apr 8, 2026
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Counts in the outlook only: adds 3.2 points once it applies

    The Corporations Amendment (Digital Assets Framework) Act 2026 (Royal Assent 8 April 2026) makes digital asset platforms and tokenised custody platforms financial products, so their operators generally need an Australian Financial Services Licence. Small platforms are exempt if transactions through them stay at or under $10 million in 12 months and each client's holdings stay at or under $5,000. The Act commences 12 months after Royal Assent (8 April 2027 per the register's commencement table), followed by a six-month transition period.

    Why it counts: Brings crypto custody and exchange inside the financial-services licensing perimeter, so platforms serving Australians must be licensed and supervised, which narrows unregulated routes for holding savings outside the banking system.

Proposed (1)

  • Crypto tax transparency bill: CARF and a domestic crypto reporting regime (exposure draft)

    Proposed
    Since
    Oct 15, 2026
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    On 15 October 2026 Treasury released an exposure draft, the Treasury Laws Amendment Bill 2026: Tax Information Reporting (consultation to 28 October 2026), that would put the OECD Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework into Australian law and create a domestic crypto reporting regime requiring virtual asset service providers to report Australian tax residents' transactions to the Commissioner. Domestic reporting is intended to be quarterly from 1 July 2027, with the first international exchanges in the 2028 calendar year.

    Why it counts: Gives the tax authority transaction-level visibility of residents' crypto holdings at home and abroad, removing crypto as an unreported store of savings outside the banking system.

Repealed (1)

  • $10,000 cash payment limit bill (Currency (Restrictions on the Use of Cash) Bill 2019) - discharged

    Repealed
    Since
    Sep 19, 2019
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    The Currency (Restrictions on the Use of Cash) Bill 2019 would have made it an offence for entities to make or accept cash payments of $10,000 or more. It passed the House of Representatives on 24 October 2019, and the Senate Economics Legislation Committee recommended it be passed, but it was discharged from the Senate Notice Paper on 3 December 2020 and its status is 'Not Proceeding'. Australia has no general cash payment limit.

    Why it counts: Had it passed, it would have limited large cash settlements and pushed payments into the banking system, removing an exit from bank deposits; its failure leaves cash use unrestricted.

Before today

2 examples from Australia in the toolkit, past and present, grouped by what the tool does. Each links to the instrument, its other examples and the cited law.

HoldHold the price of money down

RewriteRewrite the deal in a crisis