Financial Repression Tracker

Rules that steer savings into government debt or hold returns below inflation, country by country.

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India

India runs one of the most extensive financial repression regimes among large economies: banks must hold 18% of deposits in government and other approved securities, insurers and the EPFO face minimum government-bond allocations, and small-savings deposits are channelled into government securities at administered rates. Outbound capital is capped under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme and taxed at source, priority sector lending directs 40% of bank credit, and the RBI absorbed nearly half of central government bond issuance through open market purchases in 2025-26.

Repression index
60.6 / 100
  • 17 in force
  • 0 enacted
  • 2 proposed or under discussion

Measures as of

How the index is built

Each segment is what one category of rules, or the market pillar, adds to the index. The full bar is 100.

  • Captive demand 12.2
  • Central bank financing 6.4
  • Capital controls 12.4
  • Rate caps 5.6
  • Prudential sovereign bias 4.0
  • Directed credit 6.4
  • Tax incentives 5.0
  • Real asset restrictions 2.4
  • Transaction taxes 1.0
  • Market pillar 5.3

Index = 80% × rules (69.2) + 20% × market (26.5) = 60.6

The method in plain words
  • Rules pillar (0–100). Each of the 9 categories can add up to its weight (the weights sum to 100). A category's intensity grows with every in-force measure in it: one measure counts by its severity factor (0.25 for severity 1, 0.5 for 2, 0.8 for 3), and each further measure closes part of the remaining gap, so breadth adds with diminishing returns: two severity-3 measures give 96%.
  • Market pillar (0–100). The average of the market readings below: how negative the real policy rate is, and how much of the government's debt is held by its own central bank and banks.
  • Index. 80% rules + 20% market when market data exists, otherwise rules alone. Laws passed but not yet applying count only in the outlook; proposals never count.

The 9 categories

Weight = the most points a category can add to the rules pillar. Intensity = how much of that weight the in-force measures fill. Open a category to see the measures counted; “What is this?” shows the instruments behind it, worldwide and in history.

  • Weight 16Intensity 95%Points 12.2

    Mandated holdings of government debt by pension funds, insurers or banks. What is this? →

  • Weight 16Intensity 50%Points 6.4

    Central bank purchases of government debt, yield curve control, direct monetary financing. What is this? →

  • 1 proposed not countedWeight 16Intensity 97%Points 12.4

    Limits on moving money abroad, outbound investment limits, FX controls. What is this? →

  • Weight 14Intensity 50%Points 5.6

    Caps or ceilings on deposit or lending rates, and administered interest rates. What is this? →

  • Weight 10Intensity 50%Points 4.0

    Prudential rules that favor sovereign debt (zero risk weights, liquidity-buffer rules, leverage-ratio exemptions). What is this? →

  • Weight 10Intensity 80%Points 6.4

    State-directed lending, credit guidance, and mandates to invest domestically or in state priorities. What is this? →

  • Weight 7Intensity 89%Points 5.0

    Tax privileges for government bonds, or tax penalties on competing assets. What is this? →

  • 1 proposed not countedWeight 6Intensity 50%Points 2.4

    Rent controls, property curbs, and limits on owning gold, cash or crypto. What is this? →

  • Weight 5Intensity 25%Points 1.0

    Financial transaction taxes, stamp duties and similar levies on non-government assets. What is this? →

Market pillar 26.5 / 100

The average of the readings that have data, worth 20% of the index (5.3 points here).

Indicators

Measured data from international sources, alongside the rules above. Real rates below zero mean savers lose purchasing power.

Real policy rate
0.9%
Jun 2026
Government debt
84% of GDP
2025
Liquidation effect (est.)
None
real rates are positive
Debt held by central bank
5.1%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic banks
17.0%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic non-banks
73.2%
Q4 2025
Debt held by foreign holders
4.7%
Q4 2025
Capital account openness
0.16 of 1
2023

Policy rate, inflation and real rate

Negative real rates-10-5051015200520102015202020255.34.40.9

Who holds government debt

010203040506070802005201020152020202573.217.05.14.7

The liquidation effect follows Reinhart and Sbrancia: with a negative real rate, about −(real rate × debt) of GDP moves from savers to the state each year. It uses the policy rate, so treat it as a rough guide. Sources: BIS, BIS central bank policy rates; BIS consumer prices; IMF, IMF DataMapper: World Economic Outlook (October 2026); Fiscal Monitor (October 2026); Menzie D. Chinn and Hiro Ito, The Chinn-Ito Index (KAOPEN): a de jure measure of financial openness; IMF, Sovereign Debt Investor Base for Advanced Economies / for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (Arslanalp and Tsuda).

Measures

Every measure tracked here, with its legal basis and sources. Only in-force measures count in the index.

In force (17)

  • Gold import duty raised to 15%

    In force
    Since
    May 2026
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.4 points to the index

    In May 2026 the government raised basic customs duty on gold from 5% to 10% and the Agriculture Infrastructure and Development Cess from 1% to 5%, lifting the import duty from 6% to 15%. With 3% IGST the total effective tax on imported gold is about 18.4%.

    Why it counts: Making gold, a traditional household store of value, much more expensive steers savings toward domestic financial assets and conserves foreign exchange.

  • 20% tax collected at source on foreign remittances for investment

    In force
    Since
    Apr 1, 2026
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.5 points to the index

    Under section 394 of the Income-tax Act, 2025 (formerly section 206C(1G) of the 1961 Act), banks must collect tax at source of 20% on LRS remittances for investment and other non-specified purposes above Rs 10 lakh per person per year. From 1 April 2026 the rate for education and medical remittances above Rs 10 lakh is 2%.

    Why it counts: Tying up a fifth of every large outbound investment remittance until the tax is reclaimed raises the cost of moving savings abroad and favors domestic assets.

  • Crypto-asset transaction reporting by service providers (CARF)

    In force
    Since
    Apr 1, 2026
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.5 points to the index

    Section 509 of the Income-tax Act, 2025 (carried over from section 285BAA, inserted into the 1961 Act by the Finance Act 2025 with effect from 1 April 2026) obliges prescribed reporting entities to file statements on crypto-asset transactions with the tax authority. The Finance Act 2026 (section 101, substituting section 446) sets penalties of Rs 200 a day for failing to file and Rs 50,000 for inaccurate information or failed due diligence. According to a law-firm summary of the CBDT guidance note of 24 July 2026 (the official note could not be opened), India implements the OECD Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework through Rules 241-244 and Form 167 of the Income-tax Rules, 2026: reporting covers calendar years from 2026, with the first filing due by 31 May 2027, and Indian providers report users who are tax-resident outside India, while India receives data on its own residents from partner jurisdictions.

    Why it counts: Automatic exchange of crypto-platform data with partner jurisdictions removes the anonymity of holding crypto offshore, so residents who move savings onto foreign platforms to escape the 30% tax and TDS can be identified.

  • Priority sector lending targets for banks

    In force
    Since
    Apr 1, 2025
    Category
    Directed credit
    Severity
    3 of 3

    Adds 6.4 points to the index

    Under the RBI's 2025 Priority Sector Lending Directions, effective 1 April 2025, domestic commercial banks (other than regional rural banks and small finance banks, which face a 75% target) must direct 40% of adjusted net bank credit (ANBC) or credit equivalent of off-balance sheet exposures, whichever is higher, to priority sectors, including 18% to agriculture.

    Why it counts: A large share of bank lending is allocated by state priorities rather than by price, which can lower returns on bank assets and, with them, the rates banks can pay depositors.

  • RBI open market purchases of government securities

    In force
    Since
    Apr 2025
    Category
    Central bank financing
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 6.4 points to the index

    Between 4 April 2025 and 13 February 2026 the RBI bought Rs 6,39,203 crore of government securities through OMO purchase auctions, equal to 47% of the Rs 13,65,000 crore the Centre raised in that period. It announced a further Rs 1,00,000 crore of purchases in two tranches on 9 and 13 March 2026.

    Why it counts: Heavy central bank buying absorbs a large share of new government bond supply and holds down yields, lowering the government's borrowing cost and the return on bonds held by savers.

  • Removal of inflation indexation on long-term capital gains

    In force
    Since
    Jul 23, 2024
    Category
    Tax incentives
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    For transfers from 23 July 2024, long-term capital gains are taxed at a uniform 12.5% without the indexation benefit that previously adjusted the purchase cost for inflation; resident individuals and HUFs selling land or buildings acquired before that date pay no more than under the old 20%-with-indexation rule. Short-term gains on listed shares and equity funds rose from 15% to 20%, while the annual exemption for listed equity gains rose to Rs 1.25 lakh.

    Why it counts: Taxing nominal rather than inflation-adjusted gains means savers in bonds, gold and property can pay tax on gains that are partly or wholly inflation, lowering real after-tax returns.

  • Minimum approved-securities holdings for life and general insurers

    In force
    Since
    May 17, 2024
    Category
    Captive demand
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.8 points to the index

    The Insurance Act, 1938 requires life insurers to hold not less than 50% of their controlled funds, and general insurers a minimum of 30%, in approved securities, which include Government of India securities. IRDAI's 2024 investment regulations and its master circular of 17 May 2024 restate the rule and list central government bonds, Treasury Bills, state government bonds and guaranteed loans as the qualifying categories.

    Why it counts: Half of life insurance policyholder funds must sit in government and similar paper, giving the state a captive long-duration buyer for its bonds.

  • FIU-IND registration of crypto service providers and blocking of unregistered offshore exchanges

    In force
    Since
    Mar 7, 2023
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.5 points to the index

    Since 7 March 2023, exchanging, transferring or safekeeping virtual digital assets for others is a regulated activity under the Prevention of Money-laundering Act, so every VDA service provider serving Indian users, onshore or offshore, must register with FIU-IND as a reporting entity. FIU-IND has issued non-compliance notices to unregistered platforms (9 offshore ones including Binance and Kraken in December 2023, 25 offshore ones in October 2025 and 15 more in September 2026) and sought to make their apps and URLs unavailable: in 2023 by asking MeitY to block them, and since October 2025 by issuing its own takedown notices under section 79(3)(b) of the IT Act.

    Why it counts: Residents can only use exchanges that register in India and so fall under Indian KYC, reporting and 1% TDS collection, while unregistered foreign platforms are made unreachable. This closes off the main way to hold crypto outside the domestic tax and surveillance net.

  • LCR treatment of government securities, including the SLR carve-out (FALLCR)

    In force
    Since
    Apr 18, 2022
    Category
    Prudential sovereign bias
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 4.0 points to the index

    Under the RBI's Basel III liquidity coverage ratio rules, government securities count as Level 1 high-quality liquid assets. Commercial banks (other than regional rural, local area and payments banks) may also count government securities held within their mandatory SLR as Level 1 assets up to 16% of NDTL under FALLCR, taking the total carve-out from mandatory SLR to 18% of NDTL (2% MSF plus 16% FALLCR).

    Why it counts: The same government bonds banks are forced to hold for SLR also satisfy their liquidity coverage requirement, so government debt is the cheapest way to meet both rules.

  • Flat 30% tax and 1% TDS on crypto assets, with no loss set-off

    In force
    Since
    Apr 2022
    Category
    Tax incentives
    Severity
    3 of 3

    Adds 3.7 points to the index

    Income from transferring any virtual digital asset (VDA) is taxed at a flat 30%, with no deduction except cost of acquisition, no set-off of VDA losses against any other income and no carry-forward. Buyers must deduct 1% tax at source on the consideration paid for a VDA (no deduction where the year's consideration does not exceed Rs 50,000 for individual/HUF payers with no business income or turnover within the audit limits, or Rs 10,000 for other payers), and must ensure the tax is paid before releasing crypto-for-crypto consideration. Introduced by the Finance Act 2022 as sections 115BBH and 194S of the 1961 Act, the rules now sit in section 194(1) (Table Sl. No. 4) and section 393(1) (Table Sl. No. 8(vi)) / 393(4) (Table Sl. No. 12) of the Income-tax Act, 2025, in force from 1 April 2026. Failing to pay over VDA TDS is a criminal offence under section 476: the Finance Act 2026 replaced the original 3 months to 7 years of rigorous imprisonment with simple imprisonment of up to two years where the unpaid tax exceeds Rs 50 lakh, up to six months for Rs 10-50 lakh, and a fine otherwise.

    Why it counts: The 30% rate applies regardless of holding period and losses are ring-fenced and lost, so crypto is taxed far more heavily than equities or exempt government savings, while the 1% TDS on gross turnover drains liquidity from active trading and makes every on-shore trade visible to the tax authority.

  • Industry-wide cap on mutual fund overseas investment

    In force
    Since
    Nov 5, 2020
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.5 points to the index

    SEBI limits overseas investment by the whole Indian mutual fund industry to USD 7 billion, with a separate USD 1 billion limit for overseas ETFs. In early 2026 only about 28 international mutual funds and 6 international ETFs were open to fresh money because the cap was nearly used up.

    Why it counts: Retail savers cannot freely diversify abroad through domestic funds, so their savings stay in Indian assets, including government bonds.

  • Statutory liquidity ratio for banks (18% of NDTL)

    In force
    Since
    Apr 11, 2020
    Category
    Captive demand
    Severity
    3 of 3

    Adds 6.5 points to the index

    Banks must keep at least 18% of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) in cash, gold or unencumbered approved securities, mainly central government dated securities, Treasury Bills and State Development Loans. The ratio was cut in 25 basis point steps from 19.50% to 18% on 11 April 2020 and is now set out in the RBI's 2025 CRR and SLR Directions for commercial banks.

    Why it counts: Nearly a fifth of the deposit base of the banking system must be parked in government paper regardless of yield, creating a large, price-insensitive buyer of central and state government debt.

  • Administered small-savings rates with proceeds lent to government

    In force
    Since
    2016
    Category
    Rate caps
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 5.6 points to the index

    The Ministry of Finance sets interest rates on post office and small-savings schemes each quarter; for October-December 2026 they were left unchanged, with PPF at 7.1%, NSC at 7.7% and the Senior Citizen Savings Scheme and Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana at 8.2%. Net collections go to the National Small Savings Fund, which invests them in special state and central government securities.

    Why it counts: A large pool of household savings is collected at rates fixed by the borrower itself and lent directly to central and state governments outside the market, so the government, not the market, decides what these savers earn.

  • Liberalised Remittance Scheme cap of USD 250,000 a year

    In force
    Since
    May 26, 2015
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.5 points to the index

    Resident individuals may send abroad up to USD 2,50,000 per financial year under the scheme for permitted current and capital account transactions combined; larger amounts need RBI approval, except documented medical, education and emigration costs. Remittances for margin or margin calls to overseas exchanges are not allowed, and banks may not lend to residents to fund capital account remittances under the scheme.

    Why it counts: The cap keeps most household wealth inside India's financial system, where banks and institutions are required to hold government debt.

  • EPFO investment pattern with a minimum government-securities share

    In force
    Since
    Apr 2015
    Category
    Captive demand
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 2.8 points to the index

    The investment pattern notified by the Labour Ministry requires the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation to invest at least 45% of fresh accruals in central and state government securities, with equity capped at 15% and invested only through ETFs or index funds.

    Why it counts: Mandatory retirement savings of formal-sector workers are steered mainly into government bonds, with only a small share allowed into equities.

  • Securities transaction tax on shares and derivatives

    In force
    Since
    2004
    Category
    Transaction taxes
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 1.0 points to the index

    Securities transaction tax, introduced in 2004, is charged at 0.1% of value on both purchase and sale of shares traded for delivery. From 1 April 2026 the rate on futures rose to 0.05% from 0.02%, on option premiums to 0.15% from 0.1%, and on exercised options to 0.15% from 0.125%.

    Why it counts: The levy adds a cost to every trade in shares and derivatives, trimming returns on market investments that compete with bank deposits and government-run savings.

  • Tax-exempt status of PPF and other government savings schemes

    In force
    Since
    1968
    Category
    Tax incentives
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    Contributions to the Public Provident Fund qualify for a deduction of up to Rs 1.5 lakh a year in the old tax regime (section 80C of the Income-tax Act, 1961, which the Income-tax Act, 2025 replaced from tax year 2026-27), and interest and maturity proceeds are exempt. Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana and the Employees' Provident Fund enjoy similar exempt-exempt-exempt treatment.

    Why it counts: Full tax exemption makes government-run savings schemes, whose proceeds fund government borrowing, more attractive than taxable market alternatives.

Under discussion (2)

  • RBI opposition to stablecoins and non-interest-bearing e-rupee CBDC as the sanctioned alternative

    Under discussion
    Since
    Dec 12, 2025
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    The RBI argues against bringing stablecoins into the financial system, saying foreign-currency stablecoins would make capital controls harder to enforce and threaten monetary sovereignty, and that India's existing payment systems leave 'little justification' for them. It promotes the e-rupee (e₹) CBDC instead: retail e-rupee has been live in a pilot since December 2022 through wallets from banks and non-banks, normally linked to the user's savings account, alongside a wholesale pilot and programmable, purpose-bound versions. The e-rupee pays no interest; the RBI's 2022 concept note chose a non-interest-bearing design partly to avoid banks losing deposits.

    Why it counts: Keeping dollar stablecoins out of the regulated system preserves the effectiveness of capital controls such as the LRS cap, and the official digital substitute is a zero-interest RBI liability held through domestic banks rather than a yield-bearing or foreign-currency asset.

  • Proposed ban on private cryptocurrencies (Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill)

    Under discussion
    Since
    Jul 22, 2019
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    In July 2019 an Inter-Ministerial Committee chaired by the Economic Affairs Secretary recommended banning private cryptocurrencies, with fines and penalties, and published a draft 'Banning of Cryptocurrency & Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill, 2019'. The Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill, 2021, which would prohibit all private cryptocurrencies with some exceptions for the technology and set up an RBI digital currency, was listed for introduction in the 2021 winter session; no record of its introduction was found. Since 2022 the government has taxed crypto rather than banned it, and a Department of Economic Affairs crypto consultation paper, reported in January 2025 as due by March 2025, had not been found published as of this check.

    Why it counts: An outright ban on holding and trading private crypto would remove it entirely as an alternative store of value outside rupee deposits and government-backed savings.

Repealed (1)

  • RBI ban on banks serving crypto users and exchanges (2018, quashed 2020)

    Repealed
    Since
    Apr 6, 2018
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    3 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    An RBI circular of 6 April 2018 barred all RBI-regulated entities (banks, NBFCs, payment system providers) from dealing in virtual currencies or providing services to anyone dealing in them, including accounts for exchanges and payments for crypto purchases, and gave them three months to exit such relationships. The Supreme Court set the circular aside as disproportionate on 4 March 2020, and on 31 May 2021 the RBI told banks they could no longer cite it.

    Why it counts: Cutting the fiat on- and off-ramps made it practically impossible for residents to move rupee savings into crypto through the banking system.

Before today

12 examples from India in the toolkit, past and present, grouped by what the tool does. Each links to the instrument, its other examples and the cited law.

SteerSteer savings to the state

HoldHold the price of money down

BlockBlock the exits

Further reading

  • Indian Financial Sector: Structure, Trends and Turns

    Mohan, Ray · IMF, 2017

    Traces India’s shift from state-directed finance toward gradual liberalization, including lower reserve and government-security requirements and the end of automatic deficit monetization. It finds substantial progress while noting continued public-bank dominance and remaining administered rates.

  • The Liquidation of Government Debt

    Reinhart, Sbrancia · IMF, 2015

    Reconstructs government debt portfolios to measure the transfer from savers to governments when controlled interest rates combine with inflation. It finds substantial postwar debt liquidation and explains why high debt after the global financial crisis could revive these policies.

  • Tracking Global Demand for Emerging Market Sovereign Debt

    Arslanalp, Tsuda · IMF, 2014

    Extends sovereign investor-base measurement to emerging markets, separating domestic banks, nonbanks and central banks from foreign holders. It documents post-crisis foreign inflows and country differences in banks’ government-debt exposure, useful for evaluating funding dependence and potential captive demand.

  • Financial Repression and Exchange Rate Management in Developing Countries: Theory and Empirical Evidence for India

    Kohli, Kletzer · IMF, 2001

    Models how repression generates fiscal revenue and helps manage an exchange rate under capital controls. India’s experience around the 1991 devaluation shows how dependence on implicit financial taxation complicates liberalization and exchange-rate adjustment.