Financial Repression Tracker

Rules that steer savings into government debt or hold returns below inflation, country by country.

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Canada

Canadian financial repression is mild and works mostly through bank regulation and the housing market. OSFI gives Government of Canada debt a 0% risk weight and Level 1 liquidity status, with the same treatment for CMHC-guaranteed mortgage-backed securities. The Bank of Canada ended quantitative tightening in 2025 and since December 2025 buys treasury bills at primary auctions. Housing is the most regulated store of value: a federal ban on non-Canadian buyers runs to 1 January 2027, Ontario and British Columbia levy 25% and 20% foreign-buyer taxes, and both provinces cap rent increases on sitting tenants at or below inflation. Crypto is fenced in by a $30,000 annual limit on most tokens for retail clients of regulated platforms and by stablecoin reserve rules; the Stablecoin Act, which bars interest to holders, is passed but not yet in force, while a $10,000 cash-payment ban and crypto transaction reporting are still bills.

Repression index
31.3 / 100
Once enacted laws apply
36.1 (+4.8)
  • 10 in force
  • 1 enacted
  • 2 proposed or under discussion

Measures as of

How the index is built

Each segment is what one category of rules, or the market pillar, adds to the index. The full bar is 100.

  • Captive demand 3.2
  • Central bank financing 6.4
  • Capital controls 3.2
  • Rate caps 2.8
  • Prudential sovereign bias 4.0
  • Directed credit 0.0
  • Tax incentives 0.0
  • Real asset restrictions 3.7
  • Transaction taxes 0.0
  • Market pillar 8.0

Index = 80% × rules (29.1) + 20% × market (40.0) = 31.3

The method in plain words
  • Rules pillar (0–100). Each of the 9 categories can add up to its weight (the weights sum to 100). A category's intensity grows with every in-force measure in it: one measure counts by its severity factor (0.25 for severity 1, 0.5 for 2, 0.8 for 3), and each further measure closes part of the remaining gap, so breadth adds with diminishing returns: two severity-3 measures give 96%.
  • Market pillar (0–100). The average of the market readings below: how negative the real policy rate is, and how much of the government's debt is held by its own central bank and banks.
  • Index. 80% rules + 20% market when market data exists, otherwise rules alone. Laws passed but not yet applying count only in the outlook; proposals never count.

The 9 categories

Weight = the most points a category can add to the rules pillar. Intensity = how much of that weight the in-force measures fill. Open a category to see the measures counted; “What is this?” shows the instruments behind it, worldwide and in history.

  • 1 enacted not countedWeight 16Intensity 25%Points 3.2 → 8.0 once enacted laws apply

    Mandated holdings of government debt by pension funds, insurers or banks. What is this? →

  • Weight 16Intensity 50%Points 6.4

    Central bank purchases of government debt, yield curve control, direct monetary financing. What is this? →

  • 1 proposed not countedWeight 16Intensity 25%Points 3.2

    Limits on moving money abroad, outbound investment limits, FX controls. What is this? →

  • Weight 14Intensity 25%Points 2.8

    Caps or ceilings on deposit or lending rates, and administered interest rates. What is this? →

  • Weight 10Intensity 50%Points 4.0

    Prudential rules that favor sovereign debt (zero risk weights, liquidity-buffer rules, leverage-ratio exemptions). What is this? →

  • Directed creditWeight 10Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    State-directed lending, credit guidance, and mandates to invest domestically or in state priorities. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • Tax incentivesWeight 7Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Tax privileges for government bonds, or tax penalties on competing assets. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

  • 1 proposed not countedWeight 6Intensity 76%Points 3.7

    Rent controls, property curbs, and limits on owning gold, cash or crypto. What is this? →

  • Transaction taxesWeight 5Intensity 0%Points 0.0

    Financial transaction taxes, stamp duties and similar levies on non-government assets. No in-force measures here. What is this? →

Market pillar 40.0 / 100

The average of the readings that have data, worth 20% of the index (8.0 points here).

Indicators

Measured data from international sources, alongside the rules above. Real rates below zero mean savers lose purchasing power.

Real policy rate
-0.8%
Aug 2026
Government debt
114% of GDP
2025
Liquidation effect (est.)
0.3% of GDP
a year, at the 12-month real rate
Debt held by central bank
5.9%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic banks
18.2%
Q4 2025
Debt held by domestic non-banks
47.8%
Q4 2025
Debt held by foreign holders
28.1%
Q4 2025
Capital account openness
1.00 of 1
2023

Policy rate, inflation and real rate

Negative real rates-8-6-4-20246810200520102015202020253.02.3-0.8

Who holds government debt

0102030405060702005201020152020202547.828.118.25.9

The liquidation effect follows Reinhart and Sbrancia: with a negative real rate, about −(real rate × debt) of GDP moves from savers to the state each year. It uses the policy rate, so treat it as a rough guide. Sources: BIS, BIS central bank policy rates; BIS consumer prices; IMF, IMF DataMapper: World Economic Outlook (October 2026); Fiscal Monitor (October 2026); Menzie D. Chinn and Hiro Ito, The Chinn-Ito Index (KAOPEN): a de jure measure of financial openness; IMF, Sovereign Debt Investor Base for Advanced Economies / for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (Arslanalp and Tsuda).

Measures

Every measure tracked here, with its legal basis and sources. Only in-force measures count in the index.

In force (10)

  • Bank of Canada ends QT and buys GoC treasury bills at primary auctions

    In force
    Since
    Dec 16, 2025
    Category
    Central bank financing
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 6.4 points to the index

    The Bank of Canada ended quantitative tightening and restarted asset purchases with term repos from 5 March 2025, then resumed purchases of Government of Canada treasury bills from 16 December 2025, bought in the primary market at GoC auctions on a non-competitive basis. Purchases of GoC bonds, in the secondary market, are expected to start around 2027.

    Why it counts: The central bank becomes a standing, price-insensitive buyer of new federal debt at auction as its balance sheet grows with currency in circulation, absorbing part of each bill issue.

  • Criminal interest rate cut to 35% APR

    In force
    Since
    Jan 1, 2025
    Category
    Rate caps
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 2.8 points to the index

    Section 347 of the Criminal Code makes it an offence to lend at a criminal rate, defined as an annual percentage rate above 35 per cent on the credit advanced. From 1 January 2025 the cap moved from an effective annual rate of 60% to 35% APR; regulations exempt commercial loans over $500,000 to non-individuals and allow up to 48% APR on some commercial loans between $10,000 and $500,000 and on small pawn loans.

    Why it counts: A legal ceiling on lending rates limits what non-bank lenders and credit investors can earn on high-risk consumer credit; it is mild and narrow, as it binds only far above market rates.

  • Crypto trading platforms: $30,000 annual net purchase limit for retail clients (non-specified crypto assets)

    In force
    Since
    Feb 2023
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    Under the exemptive decisions that let crypto asset trading platforms operate in Canada, a client may buy, on a net basis over the preceding 12 months, no more than $30,000 of crypto assets other than 'Specified Crypto Assets' (bitcoin, ether, bitcoin cash, litecoin and compliant value-referenced crypto assets). Under the suitability model, limits are $30,000 for non-eligible investors and $100,000 for eligible crypto investors, with no limit for accredited crypto investors; residents of some provinces (Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, Québec and Saskatchewan in the April 2026 Coinbase decision) are excluded.

    Why it counts: Caps how much retail savers can move into most crypto assets through regulated domestic platforms, limiting one route out of bank deposits and Canadian-dollar assets.

  • Stablecoins on Canadian crypto platforms must be backed by cash, 90-day Canadian or U.S. government debt, or money market funds

    In force
    Since
    Feb 2023
    Category
    Captive demand
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 3.2 points to the index

    Registered crypto trading platforms may let clients buy or deposit only value-referenced crypto assets (stablecoins) that meet conditions in their exemptive decisions, including a reserve in the reference currency made up of cash, debt with 90 days or less to maturity issued or guaranteed by the government of Canada or of the United States, regulated money market funds, or other assets regulators consent to.

    Why it counts: Stablecoins sold to Canadians must park their reserves in cash and short-term sovereign paper, creating captive demand for treasury bills while holders earn nothing.

  • Ban on purchases of residential property by non-Canadians (to 1 January 2027)

    In force
    Since
    Jan 1, 2023
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    The Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act bars foreign nationals and foreign-controlled commercial enterprises from buying residential property, with exceptions for some temporary residents, protected persons and other prescribed cases; the regulations limit it to census metropolitan areas and census agglomerations. In force since January 2023, it was extended in 2024 from 1 January 2025 to 1 January 2027; a repeal provision of the 2022 enacting act is listed as not yet in force.

    Why it counts: Closes the domestic housing market to foreign capital, narrowing the buyer pool and the exit value of Canadian residential property; mainly an affordability measure.

  • Provincial foreign-buyer taxes: Ontario NRST 25%, British Columbia additional transfer tax 20%

    In force
    Since
    Oct 25, 2022
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    Ontario's Non-Resident Speculation Tax applies to purchases of residential property (one to six single-family residences) anywhere in Ontario by foreign nationals, foreign corporations and taxable trustees, at 25% since 25 October 2022, on top of the land transfer tax. British Columbia's additional property transfer tax charges foreign entities and taxable trustees 20% of the fair market value of their share of residential property in specified areas.

    Why it counts: Punitive transfer taxes on non-resident buyers wall off provincial housing markets from foreign capital and cut the exit value and liquidity of residential property.

  • Bank prudential rules favoring Government of Canada debt (0% risk weight, LCR Level 1)

    In force
    Since
    Jan 2015
    Category
    Prudential sovereign bias
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Adds 4.0 points to the index

    Under OSFI's Capital Adequacy Requirements, exposures to the Canadian sovereign and the Bank of Canada are risk-weighted at 0%, and provinces, territories and government agents whose debts are obligations of the parent government get the same weight as the Government of Canada. Under the Liquidity Adequacy Requirements, sovereign securities count as Level 1 liquid assets, which carry no haircut and no cap, and NHA mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by the federal housing agency may also be counted as Level 1.

    Why it counts: Banks can meet capital and liquidity rules with federal, provincial and CMHC-guaranteed paper at no capital cost, which builds structural bank demand for government and government-guaranteed debt.

  • Ontario rent increase guideline (2.1% in 2026, 1.9% in 2027, capped at 2.5%)

    In force
    Since
    2006
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    Under the Residential Tenancies Act, 2006, landlords may not raise a sitting tenant's rent by more than the annual guideline without Landlord and Tenant Board approval. The guideline follows Ontario CPI but can be no more than 2.5%; it is 2.1% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027. Units first occupied for residential purposes after 15 November 2018 are exempt, and rents reset freely on turnover.

    Why it counts: Holds rents on existing tenancies at or below inflation, eroding the real return on residential rental property held by savers and landlords.

  • British Columbia annual rent increase limit (2.3% in 2026, 2.2% in 2027)

    In force
    Since
    2002
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 0.7 points to the index

    Under B.C.'s Residential Tenancy Act a landlord may raise rent only up to the amount set by regulation, once every 12 months and with three months' notice, unless the tenant agrees or the director approves more. The limit is tied to the 12-month average B.C. CPI: 2.3% for 2026 and 2.2% for 2027.

    Why it counts: Caps rent growth on existing tenancies at or below inflation, eroding the real return on rental property.

  • Form T1135: annual reporting of foreign property costing over $100,000

    In force
    Since
    1997
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Adds 3.2 points to the index

    Canadian residents (individuals, corporations, trusts and some partnerships) whose specified foreign property has a total cost amount above $100,000 at any time in the year must file Form T1135 with the CRA. Late filing or omissions attract penalties, and failure to report can extend the normal reassessment period by three years.

    Why it counts: Makes savings held abroad visible to the tax authority and costly to get wrong, adding friction to moving savings out of Canadian assets; it is a reporting rule, not a ban.

Enacted, not yet in force (1)

  • Stablecoin Act: reserves in cash or high-quality liquid assets, no interest or yield to holders

    Enacted, not yet in force
    Since
    Mar 26, 2026
    Category
    Captive demand
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Counts in the outlook only: adds 5.7 points once it applies

    The Stablecoin Act, enacted by the Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1 (Royal Assent 26 March 2026), will make the Bank of Canada supervisor of stablecoin issuers, who must hold a reserve at least equal to the par value of outstanding coins, composed exclusively of the reference currency or other high-quality liquid assets in that currency, and may not pay holders any interest or yield. No provision is in force yet: they come into force on dates fixed by order in council, and DLA Piper expects the framework to come into force in 2027 once regulations are made.

    Why it counts: Fiat-backed stablecoins must be backed by cash and liquid assets, in practice largely short-term government paper, while the yield on those reserves cannot be passed to holders, creating a zero-interest claim backed by state debt.

Proposed (2)

  • Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework: platforms to report users' crypto transactions to the CRA (Bill C-31)

    Proposed
    Since
    May 6, 2026
    Category
    Capital controls
    Severity
    2 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    Bill C-31, the Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2, would add Part XXI to the Income Tax Act implementing the OECD Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework: reporting crypto-asset service providers must report the name, address, jurisdiction of residence, TIN and date of birth of reportable users and their transactions, from the 2027 calendar year. Introduced on 6 May 2026, the bill is at committee stage in the House of Commons.

    Why it counts: Ends the opacity of crypto holdings at exchanges, with automatic exchange with other tax authorities, reducing crypto's use as an untracked exit from the domestic financial system.

  • Strong Borders Act (Bill C-2): ban on accepting cash payments of $10,000 or more

    Proposed
    Since
    Jun 3, 2025
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    Part 11 of Bill C-2 would make it an offence for any person or entity engaged in a business, a profession or charitable fundraising to accept a cash payment, donation or deposit of $10,000 or more in one transaction or a prescribed series, and would bar banks and other listed entities from accepting cash deposits from third parties. Introduced 3 June 2025, the bill is at second reading in the House of Commons; the parts of C-2 that became Bill C-12 (Royal Assent 26 March 2026) did not include the cash ban.

    Why it counts: A cash-payment ceiling limits the use of physical currency as a store of value and means of payment outside the banking system, pushing large transactions into monitored bank money.

Repealed (1)

  • Underused Housing Tax of 1% on non-Canadian-owned residential property (eliminated from 2025)

    Repealed
    Since
    2022
    Category
    Real asset restrictions
    Severity
    1 of 3

    Not counted in the index

    The federal Underused Housing Tax charged owners of residential property 1% a year of its taxable value (or fair market value), with Canadian citizens, permanent residents, listed Canadian corporations and others excluded, unless an exemption such as occupancy applied. The Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1 (S.C. 2026, c. 3) provides that no tax is payable and no return is required for 2025 and later years, and repeals the Act from 1 January 2035; the tax still applies to 2022-2024.

    Why it counts: While in force it raised the carrying cost of Canadian homes held by foreign owners, discouraging use of Canadian housing as a store of value for non-residents.

Before today

4 examples from Canada in the toolkit, past and present, grouped by what the tool does. Each links to the instrument, its other examples and the cited law.

SteerSteer savings to the state

HoldHold the price of money down